Check out these free NFL picks from sports disability service Vegas Experts:

This week’s sports betting matchup on Monday Night Football should be a good one, as the New York Jets take on the New England Patriots in a 9-2 battle of teams vying for first place in the AFC East. Something will have to give here, as New England is a perfect 5-0 outright at home (2-2-1 ATS) and the Jets are a perfect 5-0 outright on the road (4-1 ATS). Patriots quarterback Tom Brady has won an incredible 27 straight regular season home games. The Flyboys are a perfect 7-0 against the spread as road underdogs of seven points or fewer the past three seasons. Oddsmakers have opened New England as a three-point favorite on the betting line.

These teams have already played once this season with the Jets winning 28-14 in Week 2 as home underdogs by three points. In the build up to the rematch, you will hear a lot on the subject of revenge. Keep in mind that since 1992, New England is an excellent 27-10 against the spread when playing with the same season’s revenge, meaning they lost to the same team they’re playing this week, earlier in the season. Fortunately for us, there is also a betting system applicable to making NFL picks where the revenge angle is on the line. He says that when two good teams are playing (.600 winning percentage or better), it’s the second half of the season and they played earlier in the year to take the team playing with revenge. This NFL betting system has gone 25-4 ATS or 86.2% over the last ten seasons.

Playing this game over full bets can also be a good idea. Currently, the betting odds for over/under in this matchup are 46.5 points. New England topped the total in nine of its 11 games overall this season, including the Week 2 loss to the Jets, which topped the 39.5-point total. The Patriots are also 7-1 Over in games where they are favored on the betting line. Last week, they scored 45 points in a victory and covered Thanksgiving against the Detroit Lions. The Jets also played on Thanksgiving Day, and until then they had surpassed the total in every game they’ve played this season without rest. There are also some betting trends for New York that suggest playing this game on full. One is that the Jets are 6-0 Over if they scored three points or fewer in the first half of their last game. The second is that the Jets are 7-0 Over after giving up 99 or fewer rushing yards in their last two games.

So our free NFL picks for Monday Night Football are to play the Patriots (-3) over the Jets and play the Over the 46.5 point total game.